Who Goes to Sushi Restaurant to NOT Eat Rice?

Image via WikipediaA self-proclaimed diabetic that's lawsuit-happy, that's who.

A man paid for "all-you-can-eat sushi buffet" at a restaurant in the Greater LA. He grabbed a plate of sushi, but instead of eating them, he picked off just the fish, at those, and tossed the rice. When he head back for seconds, he was refused. When asked why did he tossed the rice, he claimed he was diabetic. The chef offered to let him have 2 orders of sashimi (which comes out to be LESS than the buffet), the guy refused, paid, and left

Two weeks later he came back with a lawsuit. He wants $4000 for humiliation.

His lawyer claims that the restaurant is not "diabetic friendly".

The owner says the guy is abusing the "all you can eat" policy, because the restaurant is offering "all you can eat SUSHI", not all you can eat sashimi.

I am with the owner, and I am diabetic.

Who the **** goes to SUSHI restaurant for DIABETIC FRIENDLY cuisine anyway?

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-lazarus-20110218,0,1228883.column

Shark Fin Ban is Much Ado About Nothing (and may even be racist)

Image via WikipediaJust today, there's news that a couple state reps want to ban "shark fins" in California. Assemblyman Paul Fong claim that 70 million sharks are slaughtered per year, mostly for their fins.

Well, marine biologist says that figure is bull****. That's the highest end figure available. A truer figure is about 38 million. It could be as low as 26 million. This was again, cited by National Geographic, who's not going to publish the "100 million" or even "70 million" figure.

Furthermore, Japan and China are the primary importers of shark fins. According to an importer, 95% of stock is going to China and Japan. China, with its growing economy (just passed Japan for #2 economy in the world) is the biggest importer of shark fins.

Thus, banning shark fin imports or sale in California will NOT significantly affect shark finning at all.

In fact, most of the sharks harvested are done in poor third-world countries like Ecuador, Indonesia, and so on. Though Japan has its own port full of shark finning. Except in this case, the carcasses are NOT tossed back into the ocean for the ultimate recycling. And according to Japanese government stats, their shark catch have HALVED since the 1960's (to about 35000 tons per year, and that's the whole sharks, not just the fins).

In fact, a 2010 film, called "The Shark Con", asks whether the "plight of sharks" and "shark finning" have been drummed up by so-called ecologists as a bit of fear-mongering.

Furthermore, Japan, Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore are also consumers of shark fin. Yet it seems only Chinese are targeted.

Frankly, this is a purely symbolic gesture. It won't do anything significant to reduce the consumption of shark fins.

Related articles

• Sen. Leland Yee Opposes Shark Fin Ban Bill (sfist.com)
• California Proposes Ban on Sale of Shark Fins (treehugger.com)
• California legislation would ban sale of shark fin (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
• California legislation would ban sale of shark fin (sfgate.com)
• Leland Yee Opposes Proposed Ban on Shark Fin Soup (blogs.sfweekly.com)

Here's my version of the Crap Detector...

Cover of Ernest HemingwayThe term crap detector was probably coined by Ernest Hemmingway, in an interview with The Atlantic magazine. The complete quote was:

"To invent out of knowledge means to produce inventions that are true. Every man should have a built-in automatic crap detector operating inside him. It also should have a manual drill and a crank handle in case the machine breaks down."
-- http://www.theatlantic.com/past/docs/issues/65aug/6508manning.htm

Howard Rheingold defined crap as "information tainted by ignorance, inept communication, or deliberate deception".

Pure spam content on the Internet have been pretty well filtered by Google and such. However, the spammers have gone to a different strategy: search engine optimization (i.e. how to spam the search results), and content farms, where low-quality articles are churned out by the dozens through automatic rewriters to get higher on search results.

It had gotten so bad that Google has essentially declared war on those content farms full of crap. However, that puts their objectivity at doubt. And they appear to be losing the battle, at least for now. Over 1/3 of Lifehacker readers voted that spammers have made significant foothold into Google's search results.

Howard Rheingold
Image via WikipediaSo what can you do? If Google can't filter out crap for you, you must do it yourself. There are two ways... Through word of mouth, such as WOT (Web of Trust), SideWiki, and other comment systems, and through your own crap detector.

I've found multiple crap detectors online, including CRAP Test, Howard Rheingold's Crap Detection 101, Scott Berkun's Bull**** Test, and the FactChecked.ORG checklist. None of them seem to be very comprehensive, or specifically designed to check for crap online.

Here's my version specifically for Internet Research, inspired by those tests. I'll just call it "Kasey's Crap Test" (inspired by all the other Crap Tests above)

• Bias: Do you have a pre-existing bias regarding the hypothesis?
  
• Purpose: What is the purpose of the hypothesis? What is the ultimate goal?
• Evidence: What supports the hypothesis?
• Facts as evidence
• Fact or hypothesis?
• Are the facts current?
• Are the facts reliable?
• Testimony as evidence
• Is the testimony author qualified?
• Is the testimony author reliable?
• Is the testimony current?
• Logic as evidence
• Counter-Argument: What about the other side? Was it studied at all?

BIAS

Do you have a personal bias toward the topic / hypothesis? Do you know why?

Just by reading the information (or hypothesis), without reading any of the evidence, are you inclined to believe (or disbelieve) the hypothesis? If you do, this indicates you have some sort of a bias toward a particular side. Do you know why?  Now that you are aware of the bias, can you keep an open mind?

Skepticism is not bias. Skepticism is "Really? Show me some proof either way." Bias is is tendency toward either Yes! or No! 



PURPOSE


The author must have a purpose of writing an article or even a blog entry. Is the purpose simply to inform, to recruit you, to sell you something, or to sway your opinion? Is it the same as the hypothesis, or is there an ulterior motive?

Sales articles generally have separate hypothesis and purpose. The hypothesis is "Item X is good for you", and purpose is "Buy Item X".


Search the Beginning and the End


Sometimes, the answer is in the title, but sometimes, the purpose is hidden at the end. I would check the title, and the last paragraph, to see if the message is consistent, or is there an alternate purpose to the article. For example, some scam promoters write an article proclaiming their scam is NOT really a scam (i.e. "inform"), but the real purpose of the article is to actually recruit you into the scam.

Or even worse, the article's title can be "Truth about ______ Scam", but in the end is a recruiting link into that very scam.


Is there a way to give some feedback?

Authors who are interested in genuine exchange of information would welcome feedback. The fake ones and the closed-mind ones would have closed off comments on their blog and not even leave a "feedback" email address. Very few "sales articles" accept feedback at all.

Whether they accept feedback / comment gives you an idea whether they have looked for evidence and then reached an conclusion, or did they have a conclusion to start, then looked for evidence to support it, and is not interested in any feedback. The former is science. The latter is pseudo-science.






EVIDENCE


As Scott Berkun puts it very succintly, "How do you know what you know?"  There are generally three types of supporting evidence: fact, testimony, or logic.  


Facts as Evidence

Are the alleged facts actually facts or just more hypotheses? Do they actually support the hypothesis? Are the facts current?  Are the facts reliable?

• Facts or Conclusions?

Are the "factual evidence" actually facts, or conclusions? What someone quotes as "fact" may be an a hypothesis or an observation, and it's worthless if you don't know the evidence that supports the hypothesis or lead to the conclusion. For example, if you see this headline

Android passes Apple in U.S. smartphone market share

Then you see the one below.. Which is correct?

Apple iPhone Market Share 3 times Great than Android in US

Actually, they both are correct. Both are referring to different information. The first headline was referring to ComScore stat that Android has surpassed Apple in US Smartphone market at the end of 2010. The second link was citing much older data, released by Nielsen in June 2010.

If you only look at the headlines you would never have known that. Both are observations, not facts. The actual data are the facts. The observation has a bias. The same facts may spawn multiple conclusions depending on the bias.

For example, both headlines appeared in January 2011, based on the same set of data: ComScore smartphone market share based on 3-month period ending November 2010.  Both are observations, but one is very obviously biased.

Android Beats Apple in Market Share — LA Times
Blackberry still dominates Enterprise Market — BerryTimes

• Are the facts "current" or "timely"? 

If it's research, is the research current? Did the research occurred many years ago, and new / better results became available? If there are differences between the results, have the differences been adequately explained? Have the research been repeated by a third-party?

A lot of "crap" on the Internet are undated stuff archived in "content farms" that were outdated almost as soon as they are published, but they still clog up the search results. You have to look for the date and other time indicators to determine the "freshness" of the data. The data may have changed significantly in the meanwhile.

In the two headlines above, as you can see, a lot of data changed in 6 months. 

• Are the facts "reliable"?

Who did the research? Does the researcher(s) have anything to gain or lose from how the results turn out?  Is the raw data available instead of the conclusions? (Remember, conclusion is an opinion/hypothesis, not fact)

Andrew Wakefield, the infamous "autism doctor" who suggested that MPR vaccine may have contributed to autism, was revealed to have received a lot of money from a lawyer group who wants to sue makers of MPR vaccines and was looking for "evidence".

It is best if the facts came from several different independently reliable sources. It is far less likely for data to be "faked" if they came from multiple reliable sources, or even multiple unknown but unrelated sources.

A newspaper is generally reliable, as they have a reputation to maintain. A world-renowned paper (New York Times, Wall Street Journal, etc.) even better.


Testimony as Evidence

Who is making the testimony? Does that person have the proper credentials to make such a conclusion?  Do the testimony actually support the hypothesis? Has the person changed his mind since then?  All testimony is tinged with bias.

• Is the Testimony Author Qualified?

If a lawyer claims that a certain medical supplement is 100% effective in helping weight loss, would you believe him? Probably not. He's not a medical professional and thus is not qualified in giving medical advice.

If a regular Joe off the street claims a certain "income opportunity" is 100% legal, and it had made him money so it cannot be a scam, would you believe him? Probably not. He's not a lawyer. What if it was your friend or relative telling you about this "income opportunity" instead?

If a lawyer claims something is 100% legal, that's a bit more believable... depends on which jurisdiction he's talking about. If a local divorce lawyer talks about international law, that would be way out of his depth. If a lawyer in Indonesia claims the company is 100% legal in the US, that would be a problem.

Don't confuse this with 'ad hominem' attack. This only applies to TESTIMONIAL evidence, or in other words, an opinion. In other words, "(Based on my expertise) (I believe) this is good/bad." It sounds like a fact, but it is an opinion, based on his/her expertise / experience.

• Is the Testimonial Author Reliable?

Does the testimony author have something to gain by making the testimony? In other words, is s/he biased? 

Andrew Wakefield, the infamous "autism doc" had destroyed his credibility when it was revealed that a group of lawyers paid him a lot of money looking for evidence to sue makers of MPR vaccines. 

Is his or her testimony corroborated by other unrelated people? Or contradicted? Why?

•  Has the Testimonial author changed his mind since then?

If a person allegedly made a testimonial, check that person to make sure s/he had not changed his/her mind since.
Testimonials can be falsely attributed. Nobel Laureates have sued Mannatech for allowing associates to use their names to promote Mannatech products, implying some sort of endorsement.



Logic as Evidence

Logic can be used to support a hypothesis. Most people are familiar with logical deduction, or deductive reasoning. It can be written as follows:

A) something; and
B) related something else
therefore
C) conclusion

For example:

A) All men are mortal. B) Socrates is a man. Therefore C) Socrates is mortal. 

Both A) and related fact B) must be true to make C) actually true.

However, what appears to be logic may in fact be logical fallacies.  Here's one example:

A) Whenever it rains, you get wet. B) You are now wet.Therefore C) it is raining.

Here, A) is not a properly written fact. While it is true, there are more than one reason for one to get wet instead of just rain. This is called "logical abduction". Basically, this is deductive reasoning applied BACKWARDS (and is therefore wrong.)

Someone said "I took X, and I lost weight. Therefore X helps weight loss". Is that a logical statement? No, it is not. There is no proof that X is a significant factor in the weight loss unless there are some sort of scientific test(s) that ruled out all other factors. A single test can have flaws or bias. The tests should be repeated by disinterested third-parties that are not biased toward any one.

This is known as a "hasty generalization", trying to infer a generalization ("X helps weight loss") from a single case "I took X, and I lost weight" that may not be typical. http://www.logicalfallacies.info/presumption/hasty-generalisation/

There are three general types of logical fallacies:

• fallacy of relevance
• fallacy of equivocation
• fallacy of presumption

Fallacy of Relevance -- trying to argue that something was related when it is not related

One type of "fallacy of relevance" is "bandwagon fallacy". An example would be:

"Ten million owners can't be wrong! Buy Product Y today!"  (Implies Product Y is good)

Whether Product Y is popular is not related to whether it is "good" or not.


Fallacy of Ambiguity -- trying to confuse the issue with word play or ambiguous interpretation

One type of Fallacy of Ambiguity is the "strawman fallacy", with the following example from Wikipedia

Person A: Our society should spend more money helping the poor.

Person B: Studies show that handouts don't work; they just create more poverty and humiliate the recipients. That money could be better spent.

B had intentionally misinterprets the position of A ("spend more money" is not "more handouts" though they are superficially similar), defeats the misinterpreted version, and concludes A's position is defeated.


Fallacy of Presumption -- trying to presume something and use that as part of the argument, but that presumption itself is not proven


One type of fallacy of presumption is "Arguing from ignorance", also known as "appeal to ignorance" or "proving a negative". Here is an example:

"If you can't prove that God does not exist, then God must exist." 

This is conclusion presumes that there are only two choice: God must either exist, or not exist, when in fact, God can be unknowable, or simply unknown. So there are at least two other choices. This tactic is often used by debaters to shift the burden of proof onto the opponent.

For more about logical fallacies, see http://www.logicalfallacies.info/


COUNTER-ARGUMENT

Did the author study the opposite side of the hypothesis s/he is trying to prove or disprove? Did he acknowledge any objections, observations, facts, or such that support the other side? There is always more than one side of the story. 

A sales article or one-sided heavily-biased article would only mention evidence that support one side of the conclusion. A more balanced article would mention some opposing evidence, but explain them away. How they are explained away is important, as it reveals how the author thinks, and whether he has blind  spots or bias toward a particular conclusion.

Often a promoter of a scam will invent all sorts of explanations on why the scam is NOT a scam, usually by employing logical fallacies to dismiss legitimate concerns raised by critics.


CRAP DETECTION EXAMPLE ONE

Just for grins, I typed in "Idol White", and picked the first result to analyze it for "crap".

http://www.squidoo.com/idol-white-free-trial

Instead of going through line by line, I'll just list the factors I found. 


Bias: if it's FREE and I want Whiter Teeth...

Purpose: Please try Idol White through my link! Definitely an ad.

Facts: None. Just personal testimonials, with not even a personal before/after pictures. The author appears to be biased.

Testimony: None. Author revealed NOTHING about him/herself except used Idol White. Not a dental hygienist or dentist or otherwise any sort of expert on teeth whitening or dental help. Reliability is zero. In fact, a study of the official Idol White website reveals that the links forwards to Idol White with an affiliate code.

Logic: None, but several logical fallacies, such as "great smile helps you attract opposite sex, so you should get Idol White".

Counter-argument: Nothing.

Thus, this article is pure "crap".


CONCLUSION

Crap Detection is not simple, but it is mainly tedious. Google and other search engines makes information access simple, but it is up to you to employ them to help your crap detector.

Helium -- where junk content is valued and real content is rejected for "lack of quality"

Image via CrunchBaseFollowing is my personal experience on Helium  ( http://www.helium.com/ ) Your experience can and will vary.


A long while back (several years ago) I joined a variety of places where you supposedly write things to make money (sort of freelancing). At the time, I thought Helium was interesting as it has a mutual rating community. Multiple people write articles about a single topic, then you are randomly asked to rate the articles (which is better of the two given).

So I wrote a few.

Then I realized the raters are all bigots.

They don't actually rate the articles based on quality. They just rate that they "like".

I wrote an article on "abandoneware". Legally, there is no such thing. Morally there is no such thing either. There is no such thing as "squatter's rights" to intellectual property. The #1 article claims "unsupported software" is considered "abandoneware". Others actually claimed a moral right to abandoneware as long as no harm can be proven. As predicted, my article ended at the bottom of the heap, even though I believe it is the most technically accurate of the 6 articles on that topic. That was in 2007.

So I abandoned the place.

In 2010, I was busted a scam called TVI Express, and I found a lot of writers were singing praises about TVI Express on Helium. So I gathered up all the facts I got, put in proper citations to actual news articles, and explained it's a scam, by citing all the inconsistencies, all the lies the distributors told, compared the structures to all the laws, and so on, and declared it a scam.  (I'll reproduce the article below)

The article was rejected for "LOW QUALITY" that does not meet Helium's standards.

WTF?!


At least the #1 article is a "scam busting" one from Shawn Cornett of ExpertMLMReview. #2 and others are singing praises of TVI Express, and that's just bull****.

So there you go: I think Helium is a community of bigots, based on my experience. Its raters are not rating for quality. Of course, I may be bigoted as well. That's why this is a RANT. 

More embarrassment on Chinese News TV

Image via CrunchBaseChinese News CCTV 13 allegedly played a footage of the Chinese J-10 fighter conducting an exercise on 23-JAN-2011 and destroyed a drone. However, sharp-eyed bloggers caught the footage of the explosion as being lifted out of the American movie Top Gun, even though it only last all but 2 seconds.

The news quickly went viral, and was even picked up in the US by sites such as Gizmodo, which is then picked up by other newspapers around the world. 

Turns out the news is even more interesting. I searched on ToDou, the Chinese Youtube clone, and found a "promo tape" from the fighter maker CAIC#1, which shows the same sequence: missile firing, then the 2 seconds of things blowing up, at 3:07 mark.

So we have two levels of fakery here.

1) CCTV13 was showing STOCK footage, not real missile test footage with no attribution

2) The "stock footage" from the plane manufacturer contained a few seconds pirated from Top Gun

Related articles

• Chinese 'used Top Gun footage' in broadcast on real air force exercise (telegraph.co.uk)
• China steals Top Gun clip (guardian.co.uk)

Mannatech and their fanatical following

Image via WikipediaI have no idea whether their products do any good (and in my own opinion, they do not) but that's not relevant. I've been getting into a bit of discussion with a Mr. David Maddern, who, thus far, has demonstrated a willingness to defend Mannatech, even when all evidence is against him. Instead, he finds some other excuses to continue the defenses.

By my count, Mr. Maddern had won ZERO rounds in our two months of verbal sparring. He had barely edged a tie in 2 rounds, but lost 12 rounds. So that's a complete disaster.

The discussion can be found at http://behindmlm.com/companies/mannatech/sugarmums-com-au-whos-behind-the-business/

Here's a tally of each conversation, and sort of a "tally". I am KC, and he's DM

DM: Makes wild claims of 46% commission payout and such

KC: Calls for proof

DM: Throws out Mannatech website as "proof", names MTEX stock symbol

KC: Finds stock symbol completely unimpressive, massive losses

DM: Starts blabbing about "Mannatech is NOT sugar pill", cites some unproven explanation about cell science

DM: Claims Mannatech is losing money because it's donating vitamins for third world nutritional relief

KC: Calls DM's explanation "pseudo-science", explains "dip" in stock price occured LONG before nutritional relief announcement

DM: Replies with "you don't understand us / our science", blabs more about glyconutrients

Stock and general info round goes to KC, DM abandons the field

Is there a political message in the song chosen by Lang Lang for the Whitehouse dinner?

Cover of Lang LangLang Lang is an acknowledged master of the piano in the current generation, and his invitation to Whitehouse to perform for Obama and Hu at the state dinner was no surprise.

What was surprising is the song chosen.

Image via WikipediaThe song is called "My Motherland"  (literally: Wo-Di-Zhu-Guo, or "my ancestral nation"). While it is a Chinese patriotic song, it is also the main theme for "Battle on Shangganling Mountain," about a communist "People's Volunteer Army" defeating U.S. military "jackals" in a Korean War battle.

While there is no literal mention of the war, "jackals" (i.e. invaders) will be met with "guns". Remember, Chinese literature and songs are filled with symbolisms.

I can think of a dozen more songs that does not have this contextual problems.

Perhaps Lang Lang was completely unaware of the contextual problem, but it is unlikely everybody else is also completely unaware as well.

So who decided to keep quiet?